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2024 Oscars Best Cinematography Predictions

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best Achievement in Cinematography

Carey Mulligan and Bradley Cooper in “Maestro”
Netflix

Weekly Commentary (Updated Jan. 18, 2024): There are four movies, that are either fully, or partly in black-and-white, in the running for best cinematography: Pablo Larrain’s “El Conde” by Edward Lachman, Bradley Cooper’s “Maestro” by Matthew Libatique, Christopher Nolan’s “Oppenheimer” by Hoyte van Hoytema and Yorgos Lanthimos’ “Poor Things” by Robbie Ryan.

They were also all nominated for the ASC prize, an important bellwether for an Oscar nod. Last year’s ASC feature film winner Mandy Walker made history when she became the first woman to win the award for her work on Baz Luhrmann’s “Elvis.” However, she did not go on to win the cinematography Oscar, which went to “All Quiet on the Western Front,” which was wasn’t nominated by ASC. Still, seven of the past 11 ASC winners went on to win the Oscar for cinematography.

Watch out for either “Saltburn” or “The Zone of Interest” to surprise in this race.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

The submission deadline for general categories is Nov. 15, 2023. The preliminary shortlist for eight categories is from Dec. 14-18, with the results announcement dropping on Dec. 21. The Oscar nomination period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominees named on Jan. 23.

The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10.

***The list below is not final and will be updated throughout the awards season.

And the Predicted Nominees Are:

  1. “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) — Hoyte van Hoytema
  2. “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) — Rodrigo Prieto
  3. “Maestro” (Netflix) — Matthew Libatique
  4. “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) — Robbie Ryan
  5. “El Conde” (Netflix) — Edward Lachman

Next in Line

  1. “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Linus Sandgren
  2. “The Zone of Interest” (A24) — Łukasz Żal
  3. “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — Rodrigo Prieto
  4. “The Killer” (Netflix) — Erik Messerschmidt
  5. “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures) — Dariusz Wolski

Other Top-Tier Possibilities

  1. “Society of the Snow” (Netflix) — Pedro Luque
  2. “Ferrari” (Neon) — Erik Messerschmidt
  3. “Past Lives” (A24) — Shabier Kirchner
  4. “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) — Dan Laustsen
  5. “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio) — Jonathan Ricquebourg
  6. “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Robert Richardson
  7. “Origin” (Neon) — Matthew J. Lloyd
  8. “The Holdovers” (Focus Features) — Eigil Bryid
  9. “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures) — Jamie D. Ramsay
  10. “The Iron Claw” (A24) — Mátyás Erdély

Also In Contention

  1. “May December” (Netflix) — Christopher Blauvelt
  2. “The Creator” (20th Century Studios) — Greig Fraser, Oren Soffer
  3. “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — Simon Beaufils
  4. “Rustin” (Netflix) — Tobias A. Schliessler
  5. “Asteroid City” (Focus Features) — Robert Yeoman
  6. “Dream Scenario” (A24) — Benjamin Loeb
  7. “Priscilla” (A24) — Philippe Le Sourd
  8. “American Fiction” (MGM) — Cristina Dunlap
  9. “John Wick Chapter 4” (Lionsgate) — Dan Laustsen
  10. “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures) — Federico Cantini

Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**

  • “A Haunting in Venice” (20th Century Studios) — Haris Zambarloukos
  • “The Creator” (20th Century Studios) — Greig Fraser, Oren Soffer
  • “Beau is Afraid” (A24) — Pawel Pogorzelski
  • “Dream Scenario” (A24) — Benjamin Loeb
  • “The Iron Claw” (A24) — Mátyás Erdély
  • “Past Lives” (A24) — Shabier Kirchner
  • “Priscilla” (A24) — Philippe Le Sourd
  • “Showing Up” (A24) — Christopher Blauvelt
  • “The Zone of Interest” (A24) — Łukasz Żal
  • “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Robert Richardson
  • “The Burial” (Amazon Studios) — Maryse Alberti
  • “Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Matías Penachino
  • “Foe” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Mátyás Erdély
  • “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Linus Sandgren
  • “Fingernails” (Apple Original Films) — Yorgos Zafeiris
  • “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films) — John Conroy
  • “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) — Rodrigo Prieto
  • “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures) — Darius Khondji
  • “Golda” (Bleecker Street) — Jasper Wolf
  • “Asteroid City” (Focus Features) — Robert Yeoman
  • “The Holdovers” (Focus Features) — Eigil Bryid
  • “A Thousand and One” (Focus Features) — Eric K. Yue
  • “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures) — Federico Cantini
  • “BlackBerry” (IFC Films) — Jared Raab
  • “Monica” (IFC Films) — Katelin Arizmendi
  • “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio) — Jonathan Ricquebourg
  • “Memory” (Ketchup Entertainment) — Yves Cape
  • “Story Ave” (Kino Lorber) — Eric Branco
  • “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate) — Tim Ives
  • “The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” (Lionsgate) — Jo Willems
  • “John Wick Chapter 4” (Lionsgate) — Dan Laustsen
  • “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios) — Henry Braham
  • “The Marvels” (Marvel Studios) — Sean Bobbitt
  • “American Fiction” (MGM) — Cristina Dunlap
  • “Bottoms” (MGM/Orion) — Maria Rusche
  • “The Boys in the Boat” (MGM) — Martin Ruhe
  • “Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant” (MGM) — Ed Wild
  • “Creed III” (MGM) — Kramer Morgenthau
  • “Landscape with Invisible Hand” (MGM) — Lyle Vincent
  • “Fallen Leaves” (Mubi) — Timo Salminen
  • “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — Simon Beaufils
  • “Eileen” (Neon) — Ari Wegner
  • “Ferrari” (Neon) — Erik Messerschmidt
  • “How to Blow Up a Pipeline” (Neon) — Tehillah De Castro
  • “La Chimera” (Neon) — Hélène Louvart
  • “Origin” (Neon) — Matthew J. Lloyd
  • “Perfect Days” (Neon) — Franz Lustig
  • “The Royal Hotel” (Neon) — Michael Latham
  • “The Deepest Breath” (Netflix) — Tim Cragg
  • “El Conde” (Netflix) — Edward Lachman
  • “Fair Play” (Netflix) — Menno Mans
  • “The Killer” (Netflix) — Erik Messerschmidt
  • “May December” (Netflix) — Christopher Blauvelt
  • “Maestro” (Netflix) — Matthew Libatique
  • “Nyad” (Netflix) — Claudio Miranda
  • “Rebel Moon” (Netflix) — Zack Snyder
  • “Reptile” (Netflix) — Michael Gioulakis
  • “Rustin” (Netflix) — Tobias A. Schliessler
  • “Society of the Snow” (Netflix) — Pedro Luque
  • “Dungeons & Dragons” (Paramount Pictures) — Barry Peterson
  • “Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One” (Paramount Pictures) — Fraser Taggart
  • “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem” (Paramount Pictures) — Kent Seki
  • “Elemental” (Pixar) — David Juan Bianchi, Jean-Claude Kalache
  • “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures) — Jamie D. Ramsay
  • “Chevalier” (Searchlight Pictures) — Jess Hall
  • “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) — Robbie Ryan
  • “Theater Camp” (Searchlight Pictures) — Nate Hurtsellers
  • “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures) — Nikolas Karakatsanis
  • “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Ben Smithard
  • “Persian Version” (Sony Pictures Classics) — André Jäger
  • “Shadya” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Sherwin Akbarzadeh
  • “The Teachers’ Lounge” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Judith Kaufmann
  • “Fast X” (Universal Pictures) — Stephen F. Windon
  • “M3gan” (Universal Pictures) — Peter McCaffrey
  • “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) — Hoyte van Hoytema
  • “She Came to Me” (Vertical Entertainment) — Sam Levy
  • “Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom” (Warner Bros.) — Don Burgess
  • “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — Rodrigo Prieto
  • “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.) — Pawel Pogorzelski
  • “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) — Dan Laustsen
  • “Wonka” (Warner Bros.) — Chung-hoon Chung
  • “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Warner Bros.) — Phedon Papamichael
  • “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — Dion Beebe

2022 category winner: “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix) — James Friend

** indicates an unconfirmed release date in 2023 or could campaign in the lead or supporting categories. All release dates are subject to change.

Oscars Predictions Categories

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

About the Academy Awards

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

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